Trend Micro looks to the year 2030

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Trend Micro’s Project 2030 takes a look into the future. Connectivity, data and artificial intelligence will change the way we live, work and interact with one another in society

At the end of the year, numerous companies publish forecasts for the coming year. Japanese security vendor Trend Micro is particularly brave and is releasing its vision of what the world might look like at the beginning of the next decade. The video series “Project 2030” and the underlying research paper also shed light on how the security industry can react to innovations in the field of cybercrime.

By 2030, connectivity will affect every aspect of everyday life, both physically and mentally. Threat actors will evolve to harness and abuse technological innovations – just as they are doing today.

“Project 2030 is not an absolute vision of what will be, but a mind game about what could be – the description of a future that is plausible on the basis of current technologies and trends,” explains Richard Werner, Business Consultant at Trend Micro. “We hope these future prospects will spark a debate in the security industry and in society. Only by carefully considering future scenarios can we provide governments, businesses and individuals with an opportunity to prepare for the cybersecurity challenges of the coming decade. “

The report looks at the world in 2030 from three perspectives: that of a fictional citizen, a company and a government. He analyzes in detail the future threats to cybersecurity and how they could affect security stakeholders.

Among other things, the following predictions are made:

  • AI tools are making cybercrime accessible to a whole new level, even for people with little technical knowledge.
  • Cyber ​​attacks massively disrupt supply chains and can even cause physical damage to people – for example via networked medical implants.
  • Social engineering and disinformation campaigns (“fake news”) are becoming more immediate and more difficult to ignore with ubiquitous heads-up displays (HUDs).
  • Massive Internet of Things (MIoT) environments are attractive targets for sabotage attacks and blackmail targeting the manufacturing, logistics, transportation, healthcare, education, retail and private residential sectors.
  • AI-supported obfuscation makes it almost impossible to assign attacks to a perpetrator (attribution). Incident Response and Identity and Access Management (IAM) at the network edge are therefore moving into the focus of the security industry.
  • 5G and 6G connectivity enable more sophisticated and precise attacks in all areas of life.
  • “Everything as a Service” turns cloud providers into very lucrative targets for cyber attackers.
  • Shadow markets are emerging for those seeking ways to bypass surveillance in the workplace.
  • Techno-nationalism is becoming a key geostrategic tool for some of the most powerful nations in the world, with the gap between these and poor nations widening.

“The exponential growth of modern technology brings with it a wealth of opportunities for the future, but also the associated challenges for cybersecurity,” explains Dr. Victoria Baines, cybersecurity futurologist. “These scenarios and the threats they pose will require changes in corporate and regulatory practice in cybersecurity. The cybersecurity industry needs to evolve both technology and education to prepare for a future where everything is interconnected and therefore at risk. “

Project 2030 was created on the basis of open source research, studies of the threat landscape by security companies, scientific abstracts, patents, a survey of selected participants and a survey of CISOs. The accompanying video series is intended to visualize the future in an appealing and entertaining way and enable companies to think about how they can adapt to these new circumstances. The project is the successor to Trend Micros Project 2020 from the year 2012.

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